A singular spectrum analysis: problems and solutions

The paper has examined various aspects of the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) method.The original purpose of the method is to optimize harmonic (spectral) analysis of time series.A theoretical justification based on integral equations was given for the SSA.A solution to the problem of large dimensionality of the autocovariance matrix (AM) was prop

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Seasonal-to-decadal predictions with the ensemble Kalman filter and the Norwegian Earth System Model: a twin experiment

Here, we firstly demonstrate the potential of an advanced flow dependent data assimilation method for performing seasonal-to-decadal prediction and secondly, reassess the use of sea surface temperature (SST) for initialisation of these forecasts.We use the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM), which is based on the Norwegian Earth System Mod

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